I’m not sure who he is, but “AdamJT13″ has had a blog the past few years that has predicted the compensatory picks in the NFL draft — the extra picks handed out to teams when they lose more productive free agents the previous year then they gain — that’s been pretty right on.
Here were his thoughts on the Cardinals’ situation: “The Cardinals could get a third- or fourth-round pick, or they could get nothing. They lost one player who definitely will qualify and signed one player who definitely will qualify. The question is whether Terrelle Smith will count as a player lost and whether Jason Wright will count as a player signed. At this point, I would project that both of them will qualify based on their contract values, leaving the Cardinals with no comp picks. If Wright qualifies and Smith doesn’t, they wouldn’t get a comp pick, either. But if Smith qualifies and Wright doesn’t, the Cardinals would get a third- or fourth-round pick as compensation for losing Antonio Smith.”
“Adam” breaks down the whole league. It’s always been a kind of mystery how the NFL doles out the extra picks — it’s a formula “Adam” seems to have cracked — but obviously, to get an extra third- or fourth-round pick would be huge. That said, Wright played with the Cardinals all season and was important on special teams while Smith was cut by the Lions before they played the Cards. I don’t know the formula, but I don’t see how Smith would qualify and Wright wouldn’t, thus giving the Cards a bonus pick.
Comp picks are announced during the March owners’ meetings.
Tags: compensatory picks, draft, free agency, Jason Wright, Terrelle Smith
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